Trump Surges Ahead of Biden in 2024 Polls

Former President Donald Trump announced a 2024 run to take on Joe Biden reclaim the Presidency in November, and now his prospects are looking up.



A new poll from Emerson College shows Trump leading President Joe Biden by three points in 2024.

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The poll released on Tuesday found 44 percent of respondents back Trump in the 2024 presidential election, while 41 percent back Biden. Ten percent wanted “someone else,” and 4 percent were undecided. In November’s Emerson poll, Biden held a 4-point lead over Trump, 45-41, making the current survey a titanic 7-point swing for the former president.

The poll contained good news for Trump in the primary as well. The poll found 55 percent of Republicans said they think Trump should be the nominee. In a head-to-head match-up with Governor Ron DeSantis, his closest potential primary competitor, Trump holds a substantial 26-point lead. However, that’s a 4-point smaller lead than Emerson’s November poll.

These results should be taken with a grain of salt. Part of the former president’s popularity may be because he’s the only officially announced candidate for either party, which could be energizing voters in ways his purely hypothetical competition can’t. However, it’s just as plausible that Trump’s lead will remain durable, supported by personal loyalty and the popularity of his policy prescription, as well as the continuing public shortcomings of the Biden Administration.

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That said, the same Emerson poll puts Biden as the favorite for the Democrat nomination, supported by 58 percent of democrats, foreshadowing a potential rematch between the two occupants of the White House.

There’s a lot of time between now and election day; numbers are likely to change, but only time will tell if they’re accurate.

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