A new poll from Quinnipiac University shows President Biden and former President Trump in a dead heat amid Trump’s New York City criminal trial.
The former President faces 34 charges related to falsifying business records brought by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. The trial is in its second week, with opening arguments beginning on Monday. Trump has pleaded not guilty to all charges.
But while Democrats seek to make Trump’s legal troubles an issue of his campaign, polling indicates that voters are undeterred. The Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday says Trump and Biden are locked at 46 percent support. Even accounting for independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein, the two presumptive nominees remain tied at 37 percent each.
The latest figures show a slight bump in support for Trump and a slight decline for Biden. In March, Quinnipiac showed Biden with a slight lead over Trump at 48-45 percent. However, as the former President’s trial unfolds, Biden’s lead appears to dissipate.
According to the pollster, 46 percent of voters say they believe Trump committed a crime, while 45 percent say he is innocent. If Trump were convicted on the charges, just 21 percent of voters said they would be less likely to support him, compared to 62 percent who said it would not affect their vote. A further 15 percent said they would be more likely to support the former President if he were convicted.
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For more than a year, the Quinnipiac national head-to-head poll has shown Biden leading Trump (with one exception last November). In new poll, they're even. https://t.co/W6qKACpC98 pic.twitter.com/1S4YVkZQnA
— Byron York (@ByronYork) April 25, 2024
The findings are consistent with other national polls. According to RealClearPolitics, Trump maintains only a slight lead over Biden at 0.3 percent.
At the same time, Biden’s approval numbers remain underwater by double digits. Quinnipiac found that only 35 percent of voters approve of Biden’s job performance, compared to a whopping 61 percent who disapprove. The figures reflect a slight decline from last month, which found 37 percent approval and 59 percent disapproval.
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President Trump’s message to Biden: “Close up the borders, Joe! Our country is going to hell.” pic.twitter.com/U8RxXx4elb
— RSBN 🇺🇸 (@RSBNetwork) April 25, 2024
While Trump’s legal troubles have hindered his campaigning, the former President announced that he plans to hold a rally in Wisconsin next week.
“Biden was dishonest when he promised to ensure an America’ safe from crime and looting,’ as 2023 marked the deadliest year for Wisconsin police in two decades,” Trump’s campaign said Wednesday. “Biden’s weak border policies caused a crisis, with illegal immigrants and criminals funneling deadly drugs into Wisconsin communities, which saw a record number of opioid deaths during the Biden presidency. Biden’s failures are crushing the citizens of Wisconsin.”
“President Trump will once again deliver safety and affordability to Wisconsin! Together, we can Make America Great Again by securing the nation’s borders, reclaiming our place as a world leader, bringing peace through strength, and rebuilding our people’s wealth by driving down inflation.” ~ Trump Campaign
According to an April poll by Bloomberg/Morning Consult, Trump currently leads in Wisconsin by 3 points. The rally will be held on May 1 during Trump’s day off from his New York City trial.
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