New Polls Give DeSantis and Rubio Monster Leads With less than 2 Weeks Until Election

Florida republicans are running away with the major midterm elections. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis commands a 14-point lead over Democratic candidate Charlie Crist in a new poll, while Senator Marco Rubio leads his opponent, Val Demings, by a similar margin, 54 to 43.

According to a survey by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab, most Floridians have already decided who they’re backing. Only five percent of voters hadn’t committed to one of the two primary party candidates.

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DeSantis’s numbers come hot on the heels of his slugfest debate with Crist, where Crist floated the idea that DeSantis may leave the state to run for president, but the jab seems not to have had the intended effect. DeSantis still leads Crist  53-39 in the new poll, bringing his RealClearPolitics average poll lead up to 11 percent.

Florida Republican Senator Marco Rubio holds a similar advantage over Democratic Representative Val Demings, outpacing her 54 to 43.

For the Rubio-Demings poll, the Public Opinion Research Lab spoke by phone with 622 likely voters. The study had a 4.7-percentage-point margin of error. The poll had even favored democrats in the group surveyed, with 42% of respondents being democrats, only 41% Republicans, and the rest independents.

According to Florida politics, “Respondents also spoke of how their friends and family members were likely to vote. The spread was even direr for Demings, with 48% saying they were certain their friends and family preferred Rubio and 31% believing Demings would get support — a 17-point difference.”

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Dr. Michael Binder, the faculty director for the research lab that conducted the poll, gave his commentary on the data to the Tallahassee Democrat.

“The surprise in these numbers is that a statewide race in Florida is closer to a blowout than a recount….Florida has become a red state, it will likely take an exceptionally weak Republican candidate for Democrats to win statewide — and Rubio is not a weak candidate,”

Paradoxically, a blowout win by DeSantis would further his prospects for a Presidential run, but in debate, DeSantis was clear that Crist was the only “worn out old donkey” he was looking to put out to pasture, not Biden.

Biden is planning on visiting Florida to campaign with Crist, but it’s likely too little too late to make up the massive difference.


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