Donald Trump won the 2024 Iowa caucus by 51 percent of the vote, followed by Governor Ron DeSantis, with Nikki Haley in third, but the numbers are deceiving. Voters can change their party affiliation on the day of the caucuses, and that’s precisely what about 10,000 Democrat voters did in Iowa. Then, in a united front for some unknown reason, they voted in unison for Nikki Haley—final result: Trump 51%, DeSantis 21%, Haley 19%. However, if these Democrats had not been allowed to infiltrate the Caucuses, Trump would have been at 57%, Desantis at 27%, and Nikki Haley at a distant third at about 11%. It is quite a different picture and disturbing going forward to New Hampshire. A change to the rules is clearly in order.
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The Iowa Caucuses are unusual and feel old-school and community-oriented. On caucus night, Iowans gather in designated schools, public buildings, or often even in private homes to elect delegates to the 99 county conventions. Presidential preference selection for Republicans is decided by “a straw vote” plurality of those attending the caucuses to allocate delegates. It used to be an open ballot where people would try to win over their friends and neighbors and get them to their side. This is no longer the case. Now, it is a closed ballot. After hearing a speech from one person who speaks on behalf of each candidate, you write your preferred candidate’s name on a little piece of paper and put it in a box to cast your vote. Then, the ballots are hand-counted, which sounds like it would be challenging to monitor and control until you realize that some of these precincts have as little as 50 people. There are over 1600 precincts, but despite the commotion these caucuses cause, not many people show up. Here are the rules that were in place for the Republican 2024 Iowa caucus:
-To participate, you must be 18 years old on or before November 5, 2024.
-Participants must be registered with the Republican Party. Voter Registration materials will be available Caucus night at your precinct location provided by your County Republican Party.
Voters can register or change their registration the day of.
-Republicans meet, discuss, hear campaign speeches, and vote for a candidate.
-Each person is given a secret ballot.
-One person equals one vote.
I was in a precinct near Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, considered a predominantly liberal area, but this was a Republican caucus. I watched as people legally walked in and changed their registration from Democrat to Republican, and lo and behold, Nikki Haley was the winner at this precinct. The results were Nikki Haley, 44 votes; Donald Trump, 40; Ron DeSantis, 25; Ramaswamy, 4; Ryan Binkley, 1; Chris Christie, still on the ballot; and Asa Hutchinson, 0.
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An estimated 10,000 people changed their party affiliation to vote in this caucus. The result was to make a weaker candidate, Nikki Haley, appear more relevant than she is instead of leaving a more straightforward path for the two who should be going head to head, Donald Trump and Governor Ron DeSantis, and fewer delegates for each to boot.
New Hampshire works much the same way as Iowa, except a Democrat can walk in and register as a Republican, vote in the Republican primary, and walk out and re-register as a Democrat—all the same night. A more fair plan for each party would be to make it mandatory for someone to be registered as whatever party for at least three months before the primary. Granted, there will always be people who play the long con, but most people don’t plan that far ahead, and the net result would be fair elections for all.
We’re all told that the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary are the bellwether for the election and ultimate determination for who will be president, but as the Democrat party has infiltrated them, these early elections are only an outlier. Only the test of time will prove otherwise.
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