Harvard: Young Voters Sour on Biden as Trump Picks up Steam
A new poll finds that President Joe Biden is hemorrhaging support among young voters.
In a stark departure from the 2020 election, support for Biden over Donald Trump has narrowed dramatically among voters aged 18-29 to just 50 percent versus 37 percent, according to a Harvard Institute for Politics Youth Poll released Thursday. The survey shows that Biden’s 13-point lead shrinks even further to just 7 points when factoring in third-party candidates Robert Kennedy, Jill Stein, and Cornel West.
“Make no mistake, this is a different youth electorate than we saw in 2020 and 2022, and young voters are motivated by different things,” IOP polling director John Della Volpe said in a press release.
According to data from Pew Research, in 2020, Biden secured the Gen Z vote by a margin of 20 points. But now, support is plummeting to new lows, primarily driven by young male voters. Warren said the findings indicated that “young people today have clear concerns about where our country is headed.”
“From worries about the economy, foreign policy, immigration, and climate, young people across the country are paying attention and are increasingly prepared to make their voices heard at the ballot box this November,” he added.
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NEW Harvard/IOP poll of registered Gen Z voters (18-29):
Biden 50
Trump 37Biden lead among young white voters: 3 points. Among young non-white voters: 43 points.
Biden lead among young women: 33 points. His lead among young men: 6 points.
— Josh Kraushaar (@JoshKraushaar) April 18, 2024
While Trump and Biden continue to place neck-and-neck in national polling, the Harvard Institute for Politics’ findings are a warning sign for the Democrat President. Several recent polls indicate that support for Biden is waning among traditionally blue voter demographics.
According to an Ipsos/Axios poll published last week, Biden’s lead over Trump among Hispanic voters has also plummeted significantly. Once enjoying a 29-point advantage over Trump three years ago, Biden now leads by just 9 points among Latinos, with Trump making significant gains in recent months. Trump led Biden among Hispanic voters by 22 percent and 11 percent on issues of the economy and crime.
“In almost every case, Trump performs better than the Republican brand and Biden performs worse than the Democratic brand,” Ipsos pollster and senior vice president Chris Jackson said in a statement. “Biden’s lead shrinks even further — to 3 points — among Latinos who said they plan to vote in November,”
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📊 NATIONAL POLL: Emerson
🟥 Trump 46% [=]
🟦 Biden 43% [-2]With leans
🟥 Trump 51% [=]
🟦 Biden 48% [-1]• April 2-3: 51-49 (Trump+2)
• March 5-6: 49-51 (Biden +2)
——
🟥 Trump 44% [+1]
🟦 Biden 40% [-2]
🟨 RFK Jr 8%
🟨 West 1%
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 45% [-1]
🟥 GOP… pic.twitter.com/YCfWrYdkyz— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 18, 2024
The Wall Street Journal also found earlier this month that support for Biden has waned among black voters, having fallen by a whopping 30 percent since 2020. While 87 percent of black voters reportedly supported Biden in 2020, the Journal found that only 57 percent said they would support him this time, with another 30 percent saying they would back Trump.
The poll was conducted in swing states Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
In a statement to the Journal, the Trump campaign urged black and Hispanic voters to support the former President,
“Our coalition message to black and Hispanic communities this election is simple: If you want strong borders, safe neighborhoods, rising wages, quality jobs, school choice and the return of the strongest economy in over 60 years, then vote for Donald J. Trump.”
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